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All About Market Timing

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Title: All About Market Timing
by Leslie N. Masonson
ISBN: 0-07-141331-6
Publisher: McGraw-Hill Trade
Pub. Date: 03 October, 2003
Format: Paperback
Volumes: 1
List Price(USD): $16.95
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Average Customer Rating: 4.86 (14 reviews)

Customer Reviews

Rating: 5
Summary: No better time to read this!
Comment: Les does a great job in all the work he does and this book does not disappoint. His views on timing are straight forward, sensible and well founded.
I especially liked the areas on mechanical trading systems and capital preservation methods. I believe every market participant must learn to survive before they thrive and this book addresses this reality very well. The buy and hold approach is simply riddled with risk that most investors never understand this fact until too late. Fund managers love to hide behind time-making claims such as-"it isn't market timing but time in the market that counts". This is yet another market myth that fund managers and analysts want you to believe, but Les make the real point by pointing out that time in the market is often the riskiest approach of all.
For these reasons alone (and many others) the book is well worth your money and more importantly your TIME! I would suggest this book to anyone.

Rating: 5
Summary: A Primer on the Myth of Buy and Hold
Comment: I have been an individual investor for over 25 years, utilizing brokers, money managers and self-directed mutual funds at various times. During that time I have experienced bull and bear markets as being generally puzzling and unpredictable, and have ridden the market up and down with the masses, which are generally advised to dollar cost average and buy and hold. I was particularly incensed, as was everyone else, during the recent severe bear market, when the "diversified group of mutual funds" failed miserably as all the ships sank, and the mutual fund managers were seemingly baffled and confused, unprepared to exercise any sell discipline, and totally ineffective in protecting our money. Leslie Masonson has presented a relatively simple and understandable, statistically verified and workable means of formulating a personal approach to market timing, by using one or more logical and tested strategies to attempt to optimize the rallies during bull markets, while endeavoring to sidestep bear markets while the herd heads for the door. Plaudits to Mr. Masonson for offering a plan which admits to no guarantees, but which incorporates the hard earned and heartfelt experience of a lifetime of investment counseling, and is designed to help us plan our investing so as to be able to make our own decisions more rationally and effectively, without relying on any outside parties. This point is particularly important, since I'm sure that most investors would agree that no one else is nearly as concerned about our portfolios as we are.

Rating: 3
Summary: Should be titled "a beginners guide to market timing"
Comment: If you're already a market veteran then there is nothing new here. Seasonals, presidential cycle, valueline 4% with some variations, and moving average systems. He briefly mentions sentiment and breadth indicators but doesn't go into their use. If you're new to market timing then this is a good cliff notes on the well known timing systems.

My biggest disappointment was that there was no new or original work here. The results of the systems and their variations were not always in the same format making comparisons difficult. It should have been more consistent.

If you're familiar with Yale Hirsch, Sy Harding and the VL 4% model then this is a waste. If you want to get up to speed on market timing then it is a worthwhile book and has a good reference section.

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