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Title: Thinking and Deciding by Jonathan Baron ISBN: 0-521-65972-8 Publisher: Cambridge University Press Pub. Date: 28 December, 2000 Format: Paperback Volumes: 1 List Price(USD): $37.00 |
Average Customer Rating: 5 (2 reviews)
Rating: 5
Summary: Decisions, decisions, decisions
Comment: This is a _very_ impressive book. I can't imagine a more thorough overview of the study of human judgment, decisionmaking, and rationality.
It's hard to find a good single volume in this field. For the psychology of judgment and decisionmaking, there's Scott Plous's excellent book of that title. For the heuristics on which we seem to rely and the biases they seem to generate, there's the modern classic _Judgment Under Uncertainty_ by (the late) Amos Tversky and (recent Nobel prize winner) Daniel Kahneman. And there are other books devoted to special topics and subtopics.
But so far as I know, this is the only broad, general introduction to the entire field of thinking, how we do it, how we probably ought to do it, and the sorts of things we do it about.
The book is divided into three broad sections. "Thinking In General" covers just that: what thinking is, and the nature of rationality and logic. "Probability and Belief" introduces not only probability theory (including, importantly, Bayes's Theorem) but the various theories about what probability _is_, as well as hypothesis testing, correlation, and "actively open-minded thinking." The largest section, "Decisions and Plans," is eleven chapters long and covers everything else: uncertainty, utility, decision analysis, theories of morality fairness, and justice, and risk.
As you might imagine, Baron doesn't leave too many stones unturned. Heck, his bibliography alone is thirty-odd pages long.
The book is eminently readable. The third edition is aimed mainly at graduate students but I gather Baron still uses it in his undergraduate courses. If you're a lay reader interested in this field, you'll be able to read it on your own with no difficulty.
Rating: 5
Summary: A great introduction to Decision Theory
Comment: This is the first book I recommend to anyone interested in learning how to think and decide better. It is both an exploration of the usual way we think (and the mistakes we make) as well as a contruction of a toolkit for better thinking. It's well written and is at the level of an advanced undergraduate liberal arts course. Not too technical and mathematics oriented, but covers the concepts with rigor in an intuitive way. A good preparation for more technically oriented investigations of the subject.
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Title: The Psychology of Judgment and Decision Making by Scott Plous ISBN: 0070504776 Publisher: McGraw-Hill Humanities/Social Sciences/Languages Pub. Date: 01 January, 1993 List Price(USD): $31.87 |
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Title: Choices, Values, and Frames by Daniel Kahneman, Amos Tversky ISBN: 0521627494 Publisher: Cambridge University Press Pub. Date: 25 September, 2000 List Price(USD): $45.00 |
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Title: Judgment under Uncertainty : Heuristics and Biases by Daniel Kahneman, Paul Slovic, Amos Tversky, Amos Tversky ISBN: 0521284147 Publisher: Cambridge University Press Pub. Date: 30 April, 1982 List Price(USD): $45.00 |
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Title: Rational Choice in an Uncertain World : The Psychology of Judgement and Decision Making by Robyn M. Dawes, Reid Hastie ISBN: 076192275X Publisher: Sage Publications Pub. Date: 15 June, 2001 List Price(USD): $53.95 |
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Title: Primer on Decision Making : How Decisions Happen by James G. March ISBN: 0029200350 Publisher: Free Press Pub. Date: 23 May, 1994 List Price(USD): $37.50 |
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