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The New Financial Order: Risk in the 21st Century

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Title: The New Financial Order: Risk in the 21st Century
by Robert J. Shiller
ISBN: 0691091722
Publisher: Princeton Univ Pr
Pub. Date: 02 April, 2003
Format: Hardcover
Volumes: 1
List Price(USD): $29.95
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Average Customer Rating: 3.22

Customer Reviews

Rating: 1
Summary: The New Financial Order
Comment: Dr. Shiller proved that the word "Irrational" should appear in the title of all of his books. He said in the introduction that the book was neither political or utopian, but it was both.

To think that one can "insure" (really tax) everyone into mediocrity and at the same time have them permit government intrusion to a greater extent than ever seen outside of a dictatorship in order to get a lower rate is right out of Orwell.

I was incredibly disappointed having had my expectations raised by his last book, "Irrational Exuberance."

Rating: 5
Summary: Thinking Outside the Box
Comment: Robert Shiller has the remarkable ability to think independently and the courage to propose ideas that to middlebrow thinkers may sound speculative.
Think of what your reaction would have been had someone discussed risk sharing (insurance) before it became popular. A lunacy people would have thought. Most risk management is like that: we think backwards with the benefit of past history and find these ideas obvious. They were not at the time.
Throughout his career Shiller stood for unpopular ideas and was proven right (his 1981 paper on volatility, his 2000 discussion of the bubble). I would read and re-read this book.

Rating: 1
Summary: Overall not very convincing
Comment: Whether it is home value insurance or other improvements that Shiller offers to fix the market, the one question that Shiller never deals with is why those policies don't already exist. He simply assumes that he is smarter than the market and that others have made mistakes in not offering these options. Might there be moral hazard problems in home value insurance? No discussion is offered. This approach of simply asserting an "optimal" arrangement without really asking why it doesn't exist if it is so "optimal" is something that infects a lot of economics, but you would think that if a service is so valuable the first question would be "why doesn't the market already provide this?" Instead Shiller's presumption that he is so smart.

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