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Title: Knowledge Builder: Business Strategies for the Roaring 2000s by Harry S. Dent Jr. ISBN: 1-893642-00-3 Publisher: KnowledgeBuilder.com Pub. Date: 01 November, 1999 Format: Software List Price(USD): $49.95

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Average Customer Rating: 3.68 (85 reviews)

Rating: 5
Summary: Highly Recommended!
Comment: Harry S. Dent may be the one-eyed economist living in the land of the blind. His previous book, The Great Boom Ahead, predicted our current, record-shattering market (although it underestimated its strength). Now he's updated his analysis with a new focus that extends the boom prediction through the end of the current decade. His results may prove more effective than his methodology, because Dent is a futurist who subscribes to a deterministic model. He believes that population growth and technological adoption control economic growth. Upon these foundations, Dent builds a vision of continued, unprecedented growth that may make him Enemy Number One on Alan Greenspan's Irrational Exuberance Most Wanted. But to doubters, Dent can offer the nearly irrefutable: "Yeah, but I was right." If you're in business, you should know the basics of Dent's philosophy, and if you're in the markets at all, we [...] recommend that you read this book. After all, you can't argue with his track record!

Rating: 3
Summary: Something there, but Take with a Grain of Salt
Comment: On first blush Harry Dent looks like a genius. After all, years before everyone talked mutual funds and daytrading he predicted a stock market bonanza. What's easy to forget, though, is that in his earlier book (admittedly, I only read one and it was years ago so I'm a little sketchy on the details) there were lots of predictions--such what would happen to Asian economies-- which turned out to be way off the mark. No doubt, there is something to Dent's boomers- leading-the-economic-boom theory, but any theory that simplicistic, is well, overly simplicistic. I, for one, wouldn't throw caution to the wind and take his recommendations blindly. For an excellent book on creating a truly satisfying financial life (both fiscally and emotionally) no matter what happens in the coming millenium, check out my new favorite recommendation: The Mindful Money Guide. It succicntly, but comprehensively covers a wide range of money issues; The author isn't afraid to take a stand. Don't let the serious-sounding title scare you, it's entertaining.

Rating: 5
Summary: Share market and real estate
Comment: I think the basic assumption about the impact of the baby boomers is correct, but where Harry went wrong is that he encapsulated the "message" by focusing exclusively on the sharemarket. If he had said that assets, viz average share prices and average property values, will quadruple by 2008, then he will probably be right. Unfortunately he said words to the effect that the Dow Jones will go from 10,000 to 40,000 by 2008. What he didn't properly explain was that in some years real estate will go up, and down, likewise the share market. Together, over the period 2000 - 2008, the combined value will quadruple. His thesis is correct; it was the catchphase that was wrong.